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Wednesday, June 18, 2025

Central Banks Set to Increase Gold Holdings: 95% Expect Continued Reserve Growth in 2025

stock market news

Central Banks Set to Increase Gold Holdings: 95% Expect Continued Reserve Growth in 2025

The global financial landscape continues to witness an unprecedented shift as central banks worldwide demonstrate unwavering confidence in gold as a strategic reserve asset. According to the latest World Gold Council survey findings, financial institutions are positioning themselves for increased gold acquisitions despite record-high prices throughout 2025.

Record-Breaking Optimism for Gold Reserves

The 2025 Central Banks Gold Reserves survey has revealed remarkable statistics that underscore the precious metal's enduring appeal among monetary authorities. 95% of reserve managers anticipate continued expansion in central bank gold holdings over the next twelve months, representing the highest confidence level recorded since systematic monitoring began in 2019.

This surge in optimism represents a significant 17% increase compared to 2024 survey results, indicating a accelerating trend toward gold accumulation among global financial institutions. The comprehensive survey, encompassing responses from 73 central banks worldwide, provides crucial insights into monetary policy directions and reserve management strategies.

Emerging Markets Leading the Gold Rush

The data reveals a striking divergence between emerging market economies and advanced economies regarding gold reserve strategies. 48% of emerging market central banks plan to increase their gold holdings within the coming year, significantly outpacing the 21% of advanced economy institutions sharing similar intentions.

This disparity reflects different economic priorities and risk assessment frameworks between developing and developed nations. Emerging market economies particularly value gold's protective characteristics during periods of economic volatility and currency fluctuations.

Key Motivations Behind Gold Accumulation

Central banks cite several compelling reasons for maintaining and expanding their gold reserves:

  • Value Preservation (80%): Gold's ability to maintain purchasing power over extended periods
  • Portfolio Diversification (81%): Reducing concentration risk across reserve assets
  • Crisis Performance (85%): Reliable stability during economic and geopolitical turbulence

Regional Differences in Gold Strategy

The survey highlights distinct regional approaches to gold reserve management. Emerging market economies prioritize inflation hedging (84%) and geopolitical risk mitigation (81%) as primary considerations for gold holdings. These percentages significantly exceed those of advanced economies, where only 67% and 60% respectively emphasize these factors.

This variation reflects the different economic challenges faced by various global regions, with emerging markets experiencing greater exposure to currency volatility and political instability.

Domestic Storage Trend Gains Momentum

A notable shift toward domestic gold storage has emerged, with 59% of respondents now maintaining gold reserves locally, representing a substantial increase from 41% in 2024. This trend suggests growing preferences for direct control over precious metal holdings, potentially reflecting concerns about international financial system stability.

Dollar Diversification Continues

The survey indicates a broader transformation in global reserve composition, with 73% of participants anticipating reduced US dollar holdings within international reserves over the next five years. Alternative currencies, including the euro and Chinese renminbi, alongside gold, are expected to gain increased prominence in global reserve portfolios.

Expert Perspective on Market Dynamics

Shaokai Fan, Global Head of Central Banks at the World Gold Council, emphasized the significance of current market conditions: "This is remarkable, especially considering how many record-high prices we've hit so far in 2025. Gold remains a strategic asset as the world faces uncertainty and tumult."

The expert analysis highlights how central banks continue purchasing gold despite elevated prices, demonstrating their long-term strategic commitment to the precious metal as a hedge against various economic risks.

Investment Implications

The sustained central bank demand for gold creates important implications for investors and market participants. This institutional buying pressure provides fundamental support for gold prices, even during periods of potential market volatility. The consistent demand from monetary authorities adds stability to the precious metals market and reinforces gold's role as a store of value.

For retail investors, understanding central bank purchasing patterns can provide valuable insights into long-term market trends and help inform investment decision-making processes.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed in this article are for informational purposes only and do not represent financial advice. The views expressed are those of the sources cited and not necessarily those of this website or its management. Investing in equities or other financial instruments carries the risk of financial loss. Readers must exercise due caution and conduct their own research before making any investment decisions. We are not liable for any losses incurred as a result of decisions made based on this article. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment.

SEBI Assigns Tuesday to NSE, Thursday to BSE for Derivative Expiry from September 2025

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SEBI Finalizes Derivative Expiry Days: NSE Gets Tuesday, BSE Gets Thursday from September 2025

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has made a landmark decision regarding derivative expiry days, assigning Tuesday to the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and Thursday to BSE, effective from September 2025. This strategic move aims to reduce market volatility, minimize investor confusion, and enable better product differentiation between India's two major stock exchanges.

Implementation Timeline and Current Arrangements

The new derivative expiry schedule will take effect from September 2025, with both exchanges issuing circulars clarifying the transition process. Importantly, existing derivative contracts expiring on or before August 31, 2025 will continue with their current expiry arrangements, ensuring a smooth transition period for market participants.

This decision follows SEBI's guidelines issued last month, which restricted derivative expiry days to only two specific days per week across exchanges. The regulatory framework aims to create a more organized and predictable trading environment for derivatives markets.

Strategic Advantages for NSE

Industry experts believe NSE has secured a significant advantage with the Tuesday expiry allocation. Shriram Krishnan, chief business development officer at NSE, indicated that while the exchange initially preferred Monday expiry based on market feedback, Tuesday represents the next best option following SEBI's guidance.

The Tuesday expiry provides NSE with several strategic benefits:

  • Extended Decision-Making Window: Investors get three full working days to make informed trading decisions
  • Reduced Theta Decay: Lower time decay impact over weekends compared to Friday expiries
  • Higher Volume Potential: Two additional days of potentially higher trading volumes
  • Market Share Dominance: NSE currently commands 90-95% market share on expiry days

Market Share Dynamics and Competitive Landscape

The current market share distribution shows NSE holding 63.5% and BSE capturing 36.5% of the derivatives segment as of May 2025. Interestingly, NSE gained approximately 1% market share from BSE in May after experiencing six consecutive months of reduction from December 2024 to April 2025.

According to technical analysis expert Rajesh Palviya from Axis Securities, NSE's advantage stems from superior product offerings, enhanced liquidity, and advanced algorithmic trading capabilities available on Nifty derivatives. These factors make NSE particularly attractive to institutional investors and hedge funds.

BSE's Path to Market Share Growth

Despite the Thursday allocation, BSE faces both challenges and opportunities in the new framework. Market analysts suggest that BSE's recent market share gains were primarily driven by the shift in Bank Nifty weekly volumes to Sensex derivatives.

For BSE to continue expanding its market presence, experts recommend:

  • Launching More Stock Futures: Diversifying product offerings beyond index derivatives
  • Product Differentiation: Developing unique derivative products to attract specific investor segments
  • Liquidity Enhancement: Implementing measures to improve trading liquidity on Thursday expiries
  • Technology Upgrades: Investing in advanced trading infrastructure and algorithmic capabilities

Regulatory Rationale and Market Stability

SEBI's decision addresses several critical market concerns through strategic expiry day spacing. The regulator emphasized that in a multi-exchange framework, distributing expiry days throughout the week reduces concentration risk while enabling exchanges to offer differentiated products.

However, SEBI also cautioned that excessive expiry days could potentially revive "expiry day hyperactivity," which might compromise investor protection and overall market stability. The two-day framework strikes a balance between competition and stability.

Industry Expert Perspectives

Market professionals have varied opinions on the new arrangement's impact. Dharmesh Shah from ICICI Securities believes this creates a "level playing field," noting that many brokers are already shifting toward BSE, and this trend may continue under the new framework.

Mrugank M Paranjape, former CEO of MCX and current Managing Partner at MCQube, expressed concerns that the restriction might limit growth opportunities for smaller exchanges. He advocates for greater flexibility in allowing exchanges to launch weekly contracts.

Ecosystem-Wide Impact and Adaptation Requirements

The new derivative expiry structure will require significant adaptations across the financial ecosystem:

  • Institutional Investors: Must adapt to dual settlement cycles and adjust portfolio management strategies
  • Brokers and Trading Firms: Need to update collateral management and risk management systems
  • Retail Participants: Require guidance and education to navigate the new trading landscape
  • Algorithm Developers: Must modify trading algorithms to accommodate different expiry schedules

Global Standards and Future Outlook

Puneet Sharma, CEO at Whitespace Alpha CAT 3 AIF, notes that this divergence creates interesting market dynamics. While NSE moves closer to global derivative market standards, BSE gains an opportunity for differentiation, though it may face challenges related to liquidity fragmentation.

The real test will be how effectively each exchange leverages its assigned expiry day to build market share and serve different segments of market participants. The success of this framework will ultimately depend on how well exchanges, brokers, and investors adapt to the new structure while maintaining market efficiency and investor protection.

This regulatory decision represents a significant shift in India's derivatives landscape, potentially reshaping trading strategies, risk management approaches, and competitive dynamics between the country's leading stock exchanges.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed in this article are for informational purposes only and do not represent financial advice. The views expressed are those of the sources cited and not necessarily those of this website or its management. Investing in equities or other financial instruments carries the risk of financial loss. Readers must exercise due caution and conduct their own research before making any investment decisions. We are not liable for any losses incurred as a result of decisions made based on this article. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment.