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Wednesday, July 2, 2025

India Manufacturing PMI Hits 14-Month High of 58.4 in June 2025 - Export Orders Surge

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India's Manufacturing PMI Surges to 14-Month High of 58.4 in June 2025 on Export Boom

India's manufacturing sector delivered its strongest performance in over a year during June 2025, with the Purchasing Managers' Index reaching a remarkable 14-month high of 58.4. This significant improvement from May's reading of 57.6 signals robust industrial activity driven primarily by exceptional export demand and record employment growth.

Record-Breaking Export Performance Drives Growth

The standout feature of June's manufacturing data was the extraordinary surge in international orders. Manufacturing companies reported one of the fastest increases in external orders witnessed in over 20 years of survey history, highlighting India's growing competitiveness in global markets.

This export momentum has become a crucial driver for the sector, with international demand significantly outpacing domestic consumption in several categories. The sustained strength in overseas orders reflects India's emerging position as a preferred manufacturing destination amid global supply chain diversification.

Production Volumes Hit 14-Month Peak

Manufacturing production volumes expanded at their fastest pace since April 2024, demonstrating the sector's ability to scale operations effectively. Companies attributed this acceleration to multiple factors including improved operational efficiency, favorable underlying market conditions, and increased sales volumes across various segments.

The 58.4 PMI reading substantially exceeded the index's long-term average of 54.1, indicating robust expansion well above historical norms. Any reading above 50 signifies growth, making June's performance particularly impressive.

Employment Reaches Record High Amid Strong Demand

One of the most encouraging aspects of the June data was the record upturn in employment across the manufacturing sector. Companies expanded their workforce significantly to meet growing production requirements, particularly for export orders.

This employment surge represents a positive development for India's job market, as manufacturing has traditionally been a key source of formal employment opportunities. The hiring acceleration suggests companies are confident about sustained demand and future growth prospects.

Sector-Wise Performance Shows Mixed Trends

While overall manufacturing showed strength, performance varied significantly across different segments:

  • Intermediate Goods: Emerged as the primary growth driver, showing exceptional expansion
  • Consumer Goods: Experienced a notable slowdown compared to previous months
  • Capital Goods: Also witnessed deceleration in growth momentum

This divergence indicates that while industrial and intermediate manufacturing thrives on export demand, consumer-facing segments may be experiencing some domestic market pressures.

Inventory Management Reflects Strong Demand

Manufacturing firms had to tap deeper into their existing inventories to fulfill surging orders, particularly from international markets. This resulted in continued shrinkage of finished goods stock, indicating that production capacity is being stretched to meet robust demand levels.

The inventory drawdown suggests that companies may need to invest further in capacity expansion to sustain current growth trajectories without compromising delivery timelines or customer satisfaction.

Input Cost Inflation Shows Moderation

Despite the strong production growth, input price inflation actually declined to a four-month low in June 2025. This moderation occurred even as iron and steel costs continued rising, suggesting that other raw material prices may have stabilized or declined.

The easing input cost pressure provides manufacturers with improved margin flexibility and reduces the immediate need for aggressive price increases, supporting competitiveness in both domestic and export markets.

Selling Price Adjustments Reflect Market Dynamics

While input costs moderated, average selling prices rose markedly during June. Companies implemented upward price revisions to address various cost pressures including:

  • Freight and transportation expenses
  • Labor cost increases
  • Material cost escalations

In several instances, firms attributed these price adjustments to strong demand conditions, indicating they possess sufficient pricing power to pass through cost increases to customers without significantly impacting order volumes.

Economic Implications and Future Outlook

The robust June PMI data provides several positive signals for India's broader economic trajectory. The manufacturing sector's strong performance, coupled with record employment growth, suggests healthy industrial momentum entering the second quarter of fiscal 2026.

The exceptional export performance is particularly encouraging as it demonstrates India's ability to capture global market share and contribute positively to the country's trade balance. This external demand strength provides a buffer against potential domestic consumption volatility.

Key Takeaways for Investors and Stakeholders

The June manufacturing data presents several important insights for market participants. The sector's ability to achieve a 14-month high PMI reading while managing cost pressures effectively indicates operational resilience and adaptability.

The divergence between intermediate goods performance and consumer goods suggests that investors should focus on companies with significant exposure to industrial and export markets rather than purely domestic consumer-oriented manufacturers.

Record employment growth and sustained export momentum indicate that the manufacturing sector is likely to remain a key contributor to India's economic growth story in the coming quarters, making it an attractive area for both domestic and international investment consideration.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed in this article are for informational purposes only and do not represent financial advice. The views expressed are those of the sources cited and not necessarily those of this website or its management. Investing in equities or other financial instruments carries the risk of financial loss. Readers must exercise due caution and conduct their own research before making any investment decisions. We are not liable for any losses incurred as a result of decisions made based on this article. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment.

Indian Car Sales Drop 6.4% in June 2025: Maruti, Hyundai, Tata Take Major Hit

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Indian Car Sales Drop 6.4% in June 2025: Maruti, Hyundai, and Tata Motors Face Major Setback

The Indian passenger vehicle market experienced a significant downturn in June 2025, with domestic sales declining by 6.4% year-on-year to 3,20,277 units compared to 3,42,174 units in June 2024. This unexpected drop has affected major automakers across the board, highlighting growing challenges in the automotive sector.

Overall Market Performance Shows Concerning Trends

The passenger vehicle industry's underwhelming performance in June 2025 reflects broader economic headwinds and changing consumer preferences. The 6.4% decline in wholesale volumes represents one of the more significant drops in recent months, raising concerns about the sector's near-term outlook.

Industry experts attribute this decline primarily to subdued demand in the smaller car segment, which has traditionally been a volume driver for the Indian automotive market. The shift away from entry-level vehicles signals deeper affordability challenges facing Indian consumers.

Maruti Suzuki Faces Steepest Decline

India's largest carmaker, Maruti Suzuki, recorded the steepest fall among major manufacturers with sales dropping 13.3% year-on-year to 1,18,906 units in June 2025, down from 1,37,160 units in the same period last year.

The company's struggles are particularly evident in the entry-level segment. Models like the Alto and S-Presso contributed only 6,414 units, representing just 5.4% of Maruti's domestic passenger vehicle wholesale volumes during the month.

According to Maruti executives, the entry-level car segment has experienced dramatic changes since 2019. Entry-level vehicle prices have surged by over 70% due to stricter regulatory requirements, while sales of smaller cars have plummeted by more than 70% during the same period.

Mahindra Emerges As The Bright Spot

Contrasting the overall market decline, Mahindra & Mahindra achieved impressive growth with sales rising 18.2% year-on-year to 47,306 units in June 2025, up from 40,022 units in June 2024.

This marked the third consecutive month where Mahindra outperformed both Hyundai Motor India and Tata Motors in domestic passenger vehicle wholesale numbers. The company's success stems from sustained demand for popular SUV models including:

  • Scorpio-N
  • XUV 3XO
  • Bolero Neo
  • Thar Roxx

Hyundai and Tata Motors Struggle With Double-Digit Declines

Hyundai Motor India witnessed a significant 12.1% year-on-year drop in domestic sales to 44,024 units in June 2025, compared to 50,103 units in June 2024. Company officials attributed this decline to ongoing geopolitical tensions affecting market sentiment.

The Korean automaker remains cautiously optimistic about recovery prospects, particularly with the upcoming production commencement at its Talegaon plant in Pune during Q3 FY26. Management expects gradual demand recovery supported by potential repo rate reductions and improved market liquidity.

Tata Motors experienced an even steeper decline with passenger vehicle sales falling 14.8% year-on-year to 37,083 units in June 2025, down from 43,524 units in the previous year. The company acknowledged volume pressures throughout Q1 FY26, particularly during May and June.

Toyota Maintains Stability Amid Market Turbulence

Toyota Kirloskar Motor demonstrated resilience with a modest 2.7% year-on-year increase in volumes to 26,453 units in June 2025, up from 25,752 units in June 2024. This growth was primarily driven by sustained demand for badge-engineered models.

Market Dynamics and Future Outlook

Despite declining volumes, industry analysts note that the overall market value continues growing steadily. This apparent contradiction reflects a significant consumer shift toward higher-end, feature-rich vehicles that command premium pricing.

The trend indicates evolving consumer preferences favoring comfort, advanced technology, and brand value over basic transportation needs. This premiumization trend partially offsets volume declines through improved revenue per unit.

Rural Market Offers Hope for Recovery

While urban markets face saturation and macroeconomic headwinds, rural demand presents more optimistic prospects. Better-than-expected monsoon conditions typically translate to improved agricultural income and enhanced rural spending capacity.

Industry experts expect volume trends to remain stable over the next two to three quarters, with limited upside potential in urban markets. However, positive rural sentiment could provide crucial support for overall demand recovery in coming months.

Supply Chain Challenges on the Horizon

Although June 2025 production remained unaffected, the automotive industry faces potential disruption from rare earth magnet shortages. Following export restrictions imposed by China, industry inventories may run dry by mid-July 2025.

This shortage particularly threatens electric vehicle production, as electric cars require 1.5 to 3 kilograms of rare earth magnets compared to just 100 grams needed for traditional internal combustion engine vehicles. Automakers are actively exploring alternative sourcing options to mitigate this risk.

The June 2025 sales data underscores the challenges facing India's passenger vehicle market, with affordability concerns and changing consumer preferences reshaping industry dynamics. While premium segments show resilience, the traditional volume drivers continue struggling, requiring strategic adaptations from manufacturers.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed in this article are for informational purposes only and do not represent financial advice. The views expressed are those of the sources cited and not necessarily those of this website or its management. Investing in equities or other financial instruments carries the risk of financial loss. Readers must exercise due caution and conduct their own research before making any investment decisions. We are not liable for any losses incurred as a result of decisions made based on this article. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment.